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HLT vs WTW · data through Oct 2, 2026

HLT and WTW clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is momentum: in weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point, HLT typically moved +0.20% and WTW −0.69%.

HLTWTWBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceHLTHilton WorldwideWTWWillis Towers Watson
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.71%−1.3% to −0.11%Tentative−0.30%−1.8% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.6%+0.06% to +3.1%Tentative+0.80%−1.5% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+1.6%+0.61% to +2.5%Clear+0.76%−0.79% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.91%−1.4% to −0.40%Clear−1.0%−1.7% to −0.27%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.51%−2.3% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−3.8% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.40%−1.0% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero−2.0%−3.7% to −0.23%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.02%−0.71% to +0.68%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−2.1% to −0.17%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.60%−1.4% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero+0.47%−0.68% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.50%−1.1% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero+0.48%−0.31% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.05%−0.53% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero+0.25%−0.33% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.01%−0.03% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero0.00%−0.03% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.31%−0.79% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero−0.14%−0.91% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.27%+0.12% to +0.43%Tentative+0.16%−0.08% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.37%+0.18% to +0.55%Clear+0.47%+0.18% to +0.77%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.20%−0.01% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero−0.69%−1.0% to −0.34%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.3%−2.8% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero+0.09%−1.3% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.89%−1.6% to −0.20%Tentative+0.25%−1.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.04%−0.18% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero−0.45%−0.76% to −0.14%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.07%−0.04% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero+0.40%+0.15% to +0.64%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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