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HCA vs KDP · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do HCA and KDP differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

HCAKDPBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceHCAHCA HealthcareKDPKeurig Dr Pepper
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.58%−1.8% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero−0.30%−1.4% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.9%−1.4% to +5.2%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%−1.2% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.79%−2.7% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.86%−1.9% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.0%−2.0% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−2.1% to −0.40%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+2.4%−0.19% to +5.0%Not distinguishable from zero+1.4%−0.85% to +3.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.32%−2.3% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−2.7% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.18%−1.2% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero−0.56%−1.3% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−1.5%−2.7% to −0.39%Tentative−0.59%−1.6% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.41%−0.55% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.15%−1.3% to +0.94%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.91%−1.7% to −0.13%Tentative−0.23%−0.69% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.01%−0.02% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%0.00% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.05%−0.78% to +0.68%Not distinguishable from zero−0.27%−0.94% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.11%−0.18% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero+0.31%+0.09% to +0.52%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.43%+0.17% to +0.69%Tentative+0.45%+0.28% to +0.63%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.33%−0.65% to −0.01%Tentative−0.15%−0.39% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.25%−2.4% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%−1.1% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.1%+0.29% to +1.9%Tentative+0.22%−0.47% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.20%−0.45% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero+0.14%−0.18% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.05%−0.22% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.18% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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