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HBAN vs MTB · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do HBAN and MTB differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

HBANMTBBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceHBANHuntington BancsharesMTBM&T Bank
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.8%−4.1% to −1.5%Clear−2.3%−3.5% to −1.1%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+8.5%+4.9% to +12.0%Clear+6.2%+3.3% to +9.1%Clear
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.04%−1.8% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero+0.06%−1.5% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.0%−1.7% to −0.16%Tentative−0.61%−1.4% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−3.8%−6.4% to −1.2%Tentative−2.9%−5.6% to −0.24%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.1%−4.3% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero−0.67%−2.7% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.5%−2.4% to −0.64%Tentative−1.0%−1.9% to −0.17%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.93%−0.24% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.94%−0.18% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.3%−2.2% to −0.44%Tentative−1.2%−2.1% to −0.28%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.31%−1.0% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero−0.35%−1.0% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.06%−0.11% to −0.01%Tentative−0.02%−0.08% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.24%−1.3% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero−0.60%−1.6% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+1.3%+1.1% to +1.5%Clear+1.2%+1.0% to +1.4%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+1.3%+1.1% to +1.5%Clear+1.3%+1.1% to +1.5%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.34%−0.72% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero−0.28%−0.60% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.3%−3.4% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero−1.4%−3.4% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.10%−1.1% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.87% to +0.94%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.31%−0.56% to −0.07%Tentative−0.27%−0.48% to −0.05%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.01%−0.16% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.12% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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