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GS vs BBY · data through Oct 2, 2026

GS and BBY clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is short-term rates: in weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points, GS typically moved +0.68% and BBY −5.4%.

Economic forceGSGoldman SachsBBYBest Buy
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.9%−2.7% to −1.0%Clear−1.8%−3.3% to −0.16%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+4.1%+1.8% to +6.4%Clear+3.2%−1.3% to +7.6%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.18%−1.4% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.42%−1.9% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.17%−0.84% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero−0.23%−1.9% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−2.9%−5.4% to −0.35%Tentative−4.0%−7.2% to −0.72%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage pointsClear difference+0.68%−0.86% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero−5.4%−8.2% to −2.6%Clear
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.1%−1.8% to −0.37%Tentative−1.1%−2.8% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.53%−0.88% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero+1.3%−0.67% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.4%−2.0% to −0.88%Clear−0.47%−1.5% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.34%−0.87% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−0.75% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.05%−0.09% to −0.02%Tentative−0.03%−0.07% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.01%−0.66% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero−0.57%−1.4% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.53%+0.36% to +0.70%Clear+0.69%+0.28% to +1.1%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.67%+0.47% to +0.87%Clear+0.74%+0.38% to +1.1%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.20%−0.07% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero−0.36%−1.1% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.73%−2.8% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−4.1% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.03%−0.70% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero+0.27%−1.1% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.07%−0.31% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero+0.20%−0.37% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.01%−0.14% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero+0.04%−0.26% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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