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GS vs ABNB · data through Oct 2, 2026

GS and ABNB clearly differ on 4 of 19 forces. The widest gap is market volatility: in weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points, GS typically moved −1.1% and ABNB +0.73%.

Economic forceGSGoldman SachsABNBAirbnb
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.9%−2.7% to −1.0%Clear−1.3%−2.7% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+4.1%+1.8% to +6.4%Clear+3.9%+0.77% to +7.1%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.18%−1.4% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.22%−2.1% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.17%−0.84% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero−0.53%−1.4% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−2.9%−5.4% to −0.35%Tentative−2.4%−5.4% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.68%−0.86% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.92%−3.2% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 pointsClear difference−1.1%−1.8% to −0.37%Tentative+0.73%−0.15% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.53%−0.88% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero+1.4%−0.11% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%Clear difference−1.4%−2.0% to −0.88%Clear+0.37%−0.69% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.34%−0.87% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero+0.37%−0.32% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference−0.05%−0.09% to −0.02%Tentative+0.01%−0.02% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.01%−0.66% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero+0.20%−0.46% to +0.85%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.53%+0.36% to +0.70%Clear+0.31%−0.03% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.67%+0.47% to +0.87%Clear+0.10%−0.19% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.20%−0.07% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero−0.36%−0.70% to −0.01%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.73%−2.8% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.87%−1.5% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.03%−0.70% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero−0.75%−1.9% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.07%−0.31% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.26% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.01%−0.14% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.18% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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