Compare two stocks
GPN and SYF clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is natural gas: in weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%, GPN typically moved +0.03% and SYF −0.06%.
| Economic force | GPNGlobal Payments | SYFSynchrony Financial |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.0%−2.5% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.5%−2.9% to −0.06%Tentative |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +5.0%+1.6% to +8.5%Tentative | +6.3%+2.7% to +9.9%Clear |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | +0.76%−1.4% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.0%−0.81% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −1.5%−2.6% to −0.35%Tentative | −0.95%−1.8% to −0.09%Tentative |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −1.9%−5.4% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero | −2.5%−5.4% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −2.7%−5.0% to −0.36%Tentative | −1.6%−4.1% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | +0.63%−1.7% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero | −2.2%−3.1% to −1.4%Clear |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.3%−3.5% to +0.85%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.61%−0.81% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | −0.14%−1.2% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.1%−1.9% to −0.35%Tentative |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | −0.50%−1.4% to +0.39%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.32%−1.1% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference | +0.03%0.00% to +0.06%Tentative | −0.06%−0.12% to 0.00%Tentative |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | 0.00%−0.81% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.26%−0.58% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.68%+0.40% to +1.0%Clear | +1.2%+0.94% to +1.4%Clear |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.82%+0.50% to +1.1%Clear | +0.91%+0.67% to +1.1%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.83%−1.3% to −0.38%Tentative | −0.22%−0.63% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.73%−1.8% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero | −2.0%−4.6% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.03%−0.93% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.34%−1.2% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.51%−1.0% to −0.06%Tentative | −0.19%−0.47% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | −0.02%−0.33% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.03%−0.17% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.