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GM vs HST · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do GM and HST differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

GMHSTBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceGMGeneral MotorsHSTHost Hotels & Resorts
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.6%−3.6% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero−0.83%−1.8% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+3.8%−0.11% to +7.6%Not distinguishable from zero+2.8%+0.19% to +5.4%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−1.0%−2.7% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−2.4% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.29%−1.2% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero−0.16%−0.80% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−2.2%−5.6% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−1.7%−4.3% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.8%−6.3% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero+0.05%−1.5% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.45%−1.6% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero+0.17%−0.72% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.37%−1.1% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero−0.30%−1.3% to +0.71%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.66%−1.7% to +0.39%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−2.0% to −0.18%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.18%−0.78% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero−0.43%−1.2% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.05%−0.08% to −0.01%Tentative−0.01%−0.04% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.01%−0.79% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero−0.42%−1.1% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.49%+0.12% to +0.87%Tentative+0.68%+0.50% to +0.86%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.53%+0.18% to +0.88%Tentative+0.62%+0.36% to +0.89%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.11%−0.50% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero+0.07%−0.18% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.06%−3.2% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.07%−2.0% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.2%−2.3% to −0.08%Tentative−0.08%−0.86% to +0.70%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.18%−0.51% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.19% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.15%−0.37% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero−0.06%−0.20% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.