Compare two stocks
GILD and USB clearly differ on 4 of 19 forces. The widest gap is gold: in weeks when the price of gold rose 5%, GILD typically moved +1.2% and USB −1.1%.
| Economic force | GILDGilead Sciences | USBU.S. Bancorp |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −2.8%−3.7% to −1.9%Clear | −2.6%−4.0% to −1.2%Clear |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +5.7%+2.9% to +8.5%Clear | +5.9%+3.1% to +8.7%Clear |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −1.3%−2.7% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.90%−2.3% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.81%−1.5% to −0.16%Tentative | −0.59%−1.3% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −0.74%−3.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero | −3.0%−5.2% to −0.72%Tentative |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.24%−1.3% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.79%−2.6% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | +0.15%−0.64% to +0.95%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.1%−1.9% to −0.28%Tentative |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.22%−1.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.62%−0.35% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%Clear difference | +1.2%+0.43% to +2.0%Tentative | −1.1%−1.9% to −0.22%Tentative |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | −0.08%−0.61% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.48%−1.1% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference | +0.07%+0.05% to +0.10%Clear | −0.02%−0.08% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.71%−1.6% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.51%−1.4% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage pointClear difference | +0.06%−0.32% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.1%+0.93% to +1.3%Clear |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference | +0.32%+0.04% to +0.60%Tentative | +1.2%+1.0% to +1.3%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.66%−0.88% to −0.44%Clear | −0.26%−0.59% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.15%−2.2% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.5%−3.6% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.17%−1.0% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.10%−0.94% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.18%−0.42% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.21%−0.43% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.12%−0.03% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.04%−0.17% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.