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GEN vs CSGP · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do GEN and CSGP differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

GENCSGPBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceGENGen DigitalCSGPCoStar Group
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.9%−3.7% to −0.09%Tentative−1.8%−3.2% to −0.38%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.2%−1.2% to +5.6%Not distinguishable from zero+0.54%−2.4% to +3.5%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−2.3%−4.5% to −0.13%Tentative−1.9%−3.9% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.30%−1.4% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero+1.3%+0.20% to +2.4%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−5.8%−9.6% to −2.0%Tentative−5.4%−9.7% to −1.1%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.11%−2.0% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero−3.3%−6.2% to −0.42%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.48%−0.79% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero+0.39%−1.0% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.85%−2.7% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.38%−1.8% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.18%−0.69% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.23%−1.4% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.26%−1.1% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero−0.34%−1.0% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.05% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%0.00% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.30%−1.1% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero+0.39%−0.86% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.19%−0.17% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero+0.33%−0.08% to +0.74%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.38%+0.05% to +0.71%Tentative+0.23%−0.31% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.79%−1.2% to −0.38%Clear−0.71%−1.2% to −0.26%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.5%−1.0% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero+2.5%−0.37% to +5.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.01%−1.3% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+1.4%+0.16% to +2.6%Tentative
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.53%−1.0% to −0.10%Tentative−0.74%−1.1% to −0.38%Clear
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.15%−0.04% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero+0.37%+0.04% to +0.70%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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