Compare two stocks
GE and PGR clearly differ on 3 of 19 forces. The widest gap is momentum: in weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point, GE typically moved +0.55% and PGR −0.14%.
| Economic force | GEGE Aerospace | PGRProgressive Corporation |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.13%−0.87% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.34%−1.5% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +3.7%+1.0% to +6.4%Tentative | +1.8%−1.1% to +4.7%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | +0.56%−1.0% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.26%−1.1% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −2.0%−2.7% to −1.2%Clear | −0.67%−1.7% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | +0.87%−2.0% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.15%−2.5% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.49%−2.1% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.4%−0.43% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | −1.3%−2.6% to 0.00%Tentative | −0.41%−1.2% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.47%−1.9% to +0.94%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.55%−1.7% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | +0.09%−1.1% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.48%−0.38% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.25%−0.47% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.35%−0.93% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference | −0.09%−0.12% to −0.06%Clear | +0.03%+0.01% to +0.05%Tentative |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.20%−1.0% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.47%−1.2% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.31%+0.08% to +0.55%Tentative | −0.01%−0.32% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.43%+0.15% to +0.72%Tentative | +0.55%+0.26% to +0.84%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference | +0.55%+0.28% to +0.81%Clear | −0.14%−0.48% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −2.7%−4.3% to −1.1%Tentative | −0.58%−2.4% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.56%−1.3% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.35%−0.33% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference | +0.06%−0.15% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.46%−0.74% to −0.18%Tentative |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | −0.02%−0.15% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.13%−0.07% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.