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FLEX vs JPM · data through Oct 2, 2026

FLEX and JPM clearly differ on 4 of 19 forces. The widest gap is momentum: in weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point, FLEX typically moved +1.9% and JPM +0.04%.

FLEXJPMBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceFLEXFlex Ltd.JPMJPMorgan Chase
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.30%−1.4% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.44%−1.0% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.3%−2.4% to +7.1%Not distinguishable from zero+1.7%−0.95% to +4.3%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.51%−1.3% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.74%−0.72% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.73%−1.9% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero−0.17%−0.80% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.05%−4.3% to +4.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.79%−2.9% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.82%−1.8% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.33%−1.1% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.52%−3.3% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.67%−1.3% to −0.01%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+2.4%+0.24% to +4.6%Tentative+0.01%−0.95% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.85%−0.69% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.78%−1.4% to −0.15%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.16%−1.3% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.17%−0.61% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.05% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−0.07% to −0.03%Clear
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.31%−0.87% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.57%−1.2% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.88%+0.52% to +1.2%Clear+0.33%+0.16% to +0.51%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.08%−0.33% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero+0.82%+0.63% to +1.0%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference+1.9%+0.94% to +2.9%Clear+0.04%−0.20% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−3.5%−7.0% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero+0.18%−2.0% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.37%−1.5% to +0.74%Not distinguishable from zero−0.26%−0.89% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference+1.0%+0.07% to +1.9%Tentative−0.32%−0.51% to −0.13%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.53%−1.0% to −0.07%Tentative+0.06%−0.07% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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