UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

Compare two stocks

FITB vs SPG · data through Oct 2, 2026

FITB and SPG clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is small vs large companies: in weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point, FITB typically moved +1.2% and SPG +0.56%.

FITBSPGBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceFITBFifth Third BancorpSPGSimon Property Group
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−3.6%−5.3% to −2.0%Clear−3.1%−4.3% to −1.9%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+7.3%+4.3% to +10.4%Clear+6.0%+4.0% to +7.9%Clear
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.24%−1.8% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−1.2% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.72%−1.5% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero−0.73%−1.3% to −0.12%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−3.2%−6.3% to −0.21%Tentative−2.9%−4.7% to −1.2%Clear
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.6%−4.0% to +0.79%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−2.6% to −0.08%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.4%−2.3% to −0.40%Tentative−1.1%−1.8% to −0.46%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.88%−0.23% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.33%−1.3% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.1%−2.2% to −0.08%Tentative−0.92%−1.7% to −0.10%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.31%−1.0% to +0.36%Not distinguishable from zero−0.42%−0.95% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.06% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero0.00%−0.01% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.53%−1.6% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero−0.19%−0.81% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage pointClear difference+1.2%+1.0% to +1.4%Clear+0.56%+0.32% to +0.80%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+1.3%+1.1% to +1.5%Clear+0.75%+0.54% to +1.0%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.36%−0.71% to −0.01%Tentative−0.11%−0.33% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.9%−3.9% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero−1.5%−3.0% to −0.01%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.01%−0.89% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero+0.36%−0.39% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.29%−0.56% to −0.03%Tentative−0.24%−0.50% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point0.00%−0.18% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero+0.10%−0.02% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure FITB and SPG togetherWhat if? Move a force

Your portfolio, measured the same way

Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.