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FDS vs FRT · data through Oct 2, 2026

FDS and FRT clearly differ on 4 of 19 forces. The widest gap is small vs large companies: in weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point, FDS typically moved −0.17% and FRT +0.64%.

FDSFRTBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceFDSFactSetFRTFederal Realty Investment Trust
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.1%−3.7% to −0.51%Tentative−2.7%−3.6% to −1.7%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.0%−1.3% to +5.2%Not distinguishable from zero+2.7%+0.48% to +4.8%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.20%−1.3% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.20%−0.90% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.21%−1.3% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.47% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−2.1%−5.5% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−2.9% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.33%−2.4% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero−1.6%−3.0% to −0.30%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.58%−1.8% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero−0.91%−1.6% to −0.27%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.60%−0.86% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.66%−0.28% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.91%−0.08% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero−0.39%−1.2% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.63%−0.04% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.51% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference+0.02%−0.01% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.04% to −0.01%Clear
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.62%−0.76% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.32%−0.85% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.17%−0.47% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero+0.64%+0.46% to +0.83%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.11%−0.35% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero+0.78%+0.63% to +0.94%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.81%−1.2% to −0.40%Clear−0.30%−0.53% to −0.07%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.49%−1.9% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−2.6% to 0.00%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.40%−1.6% to +0.80%Not distinguishable from zero+0.60%−0.11% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.76%−1.2% to −0.36%Clear−0.13%−0.33% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.28%+0.02% to +0.54%Tentative+0.07%−0.06% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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