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FCX vs EL · data through Oct 2, 2026

FCX and EL clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is copper: in weeks when the price of copper rose 5%, FCX typically moved +3.8% and EL +0.45%.

FCXELBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceFCXFreeport-McMoRanELEstée Lauder Companies (The)
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.21%−1.3% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.70%−2.9% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.0%−2.2% to +6.1%Not distinguishable from zero+2.6%−3.5% to +8.7%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−5.5%−7.6% to −3.3%Clear−3.5%−5.9% to −1.1%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.1%−2.2% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero−0.74%−2.2% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−4.2%−8.3% to −0.19%Tentative−3.6%−8.7% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.73%−3.9% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero−4.4%−8.4% to −0.46%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.7%−3.4% to 0.00%Tentative−0.63%−1.9% to +0.70%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.4%−0.24% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−4.1% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+3.7%+2.5% to +4.8%Clear+1.3%−0.14% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%Clear difference+3.8%+2.3% to +5.2%Clear+0.45%−1.1% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.03% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%−0.02% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.13%−1.1% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero+1.3%−0.04% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.34%−0.08% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.50% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.52%+0.10% to +0.93%Tentative+0.47%−0.01% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.06%−0.47% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero−0.57%−1.2% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−3.9%−6.3% to −1.5%Tentative+0.36%−4.2% to +4.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.2%−2.4% to −0.11%Tentative+0.24%−1.4% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.84%+0.44% to +1.2%Clear+0.65%+0.11% to +1.2%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.08%−0.23% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero+0.13%−0.19% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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