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FAST vs ROK · data through Oct 2, 2026

FAST and ROK clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is emerging markets: in weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point, FAST typically moved −0.45% and ROK +0.57%.

FASTROKBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceFASTFastenalROKRockwell Automation
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.70%−2.2% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero−0.42%−1.9% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+3.4%+0.32% to +6.6%Tentative+3.4%+0.22% to +6.5%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.76%−2.3% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−2.3% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.48%−1.2% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero−0.58%−1.5% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.75%−3.1% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.47%−3.0% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.92%−0.79% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero−1.9%−3.6% to −0.09%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.70%−0.37% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−2.3% to −0.19%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.56%−0.56% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.74%−0.16% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.11%−0.87% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.69%−1.7% to +0.31%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.40%−1.0% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero−0.10%−0.70% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%0.00%−0.02% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.01% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.28%−1.1% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero+0.24%−0.54% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.34%+0.07% to +0.61%Tentative+0.66%+0.41% to +0.90%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.52%+0.23% to +0.81%Tentative+0.44%+0.23% to +0.64%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.03%−0.31% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero+0.22%−0.06% to +0.51%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.9%−0.79% to +4.6%Not distinguishable from zero−2.3%−4.7% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.69%−0.12% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.26%−1.0% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.45%−0.70% to −0.20%Tentative+0.57%+0.32% to +0.81%Clear
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.05%−0.21% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.11% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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