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EXPE vs COF · data through Oct 2, 2026

EXPE and COF clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is natural gas: in weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%, EXPE typically moved −0.03% and COF −0.10%.

EXPECOFBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceEXPEExpedia GroupCOFCapital One
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.1%−4.0% to −0.17%Tentative−1.9%−3.3% to −0.39%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+5.5%+1.5% to +9.5%Tentative+5.0%+1.5% to +8.5%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+2.0%−0.36% to +4.4%Not distinguishable from zero+1.3%−0.57% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.87%−2.9% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−1.9% to −0.10%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−3.1%−6.8% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero−3.5%−6.5% to −0.51%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.17%−3.6% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero−2.4%−4.3% to −0.41%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.04%−2.2% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero−1.5%−2.5% to −0.52%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−1.6%−3.3% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero+0.79%−0.54% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.2%−2.3% to 0.00%Tentative−0.84%−1.6% to −0.04%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.12%−1.2% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.38%−1.0% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference−0.03%−0.06% to 0.00%Tentative−0.10%−0.13% to −0.07%Clear
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.12%−1.0% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.59%−0.17% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.29%−0.10% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero+0.86%+0.64% to +1.1%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.24%−0.25% to +0.73%Not distinguishable from zero+0.75%+0.50% to +1.0%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.60%−1.2% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero−0.10%−0.47% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.62%−3.3% to +4.6%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−3.7% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.48%−1.3% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.28%−1.1% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.74%−1.3% to −0.21%Tentative−0.18%−0.49% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.19%−0.04% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero+0.13%−0.09% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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