Compare two stocks
EXE and PYPL clearly differ on 3 of 19 forces. The widest gap is euro: in weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar, EXE typically moved −2.3% and PYPL +3.5%.
| Economic force | EXEExpand Energy | PYPLPayPal |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.35%−0.88% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.28%−1.6% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +2.9%−0.81% to +6.6%Not distinguishable from zero | +2.2%−1.9% to +6.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −1.2%−3.0% to +0.74%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.90%−2.6% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | +1.5%+0.50% to +2.5%Tentative | +0.44%−1.2% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | +2.2%−0.47% to +5.0%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.9%−1.9% to +5.7%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −2.0%−4.1% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero | −2.4%−5.2% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 pointsClear difference | −1.8%−3.0% to −0.61%Tentative | +0.45%−0.50% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | +1.7%+0.32% to +3.1%Tentative | −0.73%−2.1% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | +0.63%−0.18% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.89%−2.0% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.24%−0.77% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.48%−0.60% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference | +0.13%+0.10% to +0.16%Clear | +0.02%−0.01% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.21%−1.1% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.5%+0.09% to +2.8%Tentative |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.27%−0.08% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.15%−0.29% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.50%+0.17% to +0.82%Tentative | +0.10%−0.51% to +0.72%Not distinguishable from zero |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.08%−0.41% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.78%−1.4% to −0.19%Tentative |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference | −2.3%−4.1% to −0.39%Tentative | +3.5%+0.57% to +6.3%Tentative |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.89%−1.8% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.21%−1.2% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | +0.12%−0.24% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.56%−1.1% to −0.05%Tentative |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.29%+0.17% to +0.42%Clear | +0.23%−0.05% to +0.51%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.