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ETR vs SRE · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do ETR and SRE differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

ETRSREBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceETREntergySRESempra
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.1%−2.2% to −0.01%Tentative−1.1%−2.3% to −0.03%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−1.1%−3.8% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.84%−3.5% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.29%−1.1% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.34%−1.6% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.31%−0.36% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.34%−0.45% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.31%−1.7% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.38%−2.9% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.48%−2.2% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.56%−1.1% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.3%−2.1% to −0.56%Tentative−1.8%−2.5% to −1.0%Clear
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.4%+0.33% to +2.5%Tentative+1.8%+0.51% to +3.0%Tentative
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.38%−0.48% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.14%−1.2% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.37%−0.26% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.08%−0.52% to +0.68%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.04%−0.06% to −0.02%Tentative−0.06%−0.10% to −0.03%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.10%−0.63% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero+0.40%−0.47% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.40%+0.17% to +0.63%Tentative+0.43%+0.17% to +0.69%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.70%+0.50% to +0.90%Clear+0.60%+0.28% to +0.92%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.01%−0.36% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−0.37% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−2.4%−4.4% to −0.41%Tentative−2.4%−5.1% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.16%−0.53% to +0.84%Not distinguishable from zero+0.38%−0.35% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.02%−0.23% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero+0.14%−0.22% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.11%−0.03% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero+0.14%−0.04% to +0.31%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.