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ESS vs VMRK · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do ESS and VMRK differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

ESSVMRKBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceESSEssex Property TrustVMRKVivmark Residential
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−3.4%−4.1% to −2.6%Clear−2.3%−3.1% to −1.6%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+5.0%+2.4% to +7.5%Clear+4.1%+1.9% to +6.3%Clear
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+1.8%+0.61% to +3.0%Tentative+0.58%−0.70% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.05%−0.59% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero−0.14%−0.63% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.47%−2.4% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−2.1% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.36%−1.8% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.63%−2.1% to +0.85%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.3%−2.0% to −0.59%Clear−1.1%−2.0% to −0.13%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.36%−1.2% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero−0.52%−1.6% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.37%−1.1% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−0.72% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.48%−0.50% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.09%−0.62% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%0.00%−0.01% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%0.00% to +0.02%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.13%−0.81% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero−0.41%−1.1% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.49%+0.31% to +0.66%Clear+0.34%+0.18% to +0.50%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.68%+0.47% to +0.89%Clear+0.69%+0.50% to +0.87%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.31%−0.52% to −0.10%Tentative−0.31%−0.51% to −0.11%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.88%−2.6% to +0.85%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−2.8% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.56%−0.03% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.60%+0.09% to +1.1%Tentative
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.31%−0.60% to −0.02%Tentative−0.34%−0.62% to −0.06%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.11%−0.07% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero+0.08%−0.09% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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