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EOG vs DVN · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do EOG and DVN differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

EOGDVNBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceEOGEOG ResourcesDVNDevon Energy
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.45%−1.8% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero−0.74%−2.4% to +0.94%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+3.4%+0.19% to +6.7%Tentative+6.4%+2.0% to +10.7%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−1.4%−3.0% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero−1.6%−3.3% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+3.5%+2.4% to +4.6%Clear+3.6%+2.0% to +5.1%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.0%−3.0% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−1.5%−3.9% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.70%−1.1% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero+1.8%−0.34% to +4.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.87%−2.0% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero−2.9%−4.2% to −1.5%Clear
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.42%−0.47% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.77%−0.53% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.53%−1.4% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero−0.28%−1.3% to +0.77%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.04%−0.52% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero+0.07%−0.79% to +0.93%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.02% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.04% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.40%−1.2% to +0.39%Not distinguishable from zero−0.60%−1.5% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.48%+0.16% to +0.79%Tentative+0.51%+0.11% to +0.91%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.79%+0.59% to +1.0%Clear+1.1%+0.70% to +1.4%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.16%−0.42% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero−0.06%−0.47% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−2.6%−4.4% to −0.93%Tentative−4.1%−6.4% to −1.9%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.20%−1.0% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero−0.87%−1.8% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.08%−0.25% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero+0.38%−0.01% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.13%+0.01% to +0.24%Tentative+0.02%−0.11% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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