Compare two stocks
EME and NOC clearly differ on 3 of 19 forces. The widest gap is gold: in weeks when the price of gold rose 5%, EME typically moved −0.91% and NOC +2.1%.
| Economic force | EMEEmcor | NOCNorthrop Grumman |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.06%−1.6% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.06%−2.5% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +1.8%−1.9% to +5.5%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.07%−3.9% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −0.86%−2.5% to +0.73%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.82%−2.4% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | +0.74%−0.16% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.43%−0.49% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | +0.81%−3.3% to +4.9%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.60%−2.6% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.65%−1.2% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.29%−2.5% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | −0.70%−2.0% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.30%−1.5% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.87%−0.58% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.31%−1.5% to +0.85%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%Clear difference | −0.91%−1.8% to −0.04%Tentative | +2.1%+1.1% to +3.1%Clear |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | −0.36%−1.0% to +0.31%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.27%−0.74% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | −0.01%−0.04% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.01%−0.02% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%Clear difference | +1.2%−0.08% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.85%−1.6% to −0.11%Tentative |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.51%+0.21% to +0.82%Tentative | +0.01%−0.40% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.16%−0.13% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.51%+0.21% to +0.81%Tentative |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference | +1.0%+0.59% to +1.5%Clear | −0.51%−0.85% to −0.17%Tentative |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −1.5%−3.9% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.84%−1.8% to +3.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.67%−0.30% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.03%−1.1% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.04%−0.37% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.34%−0.63% to −0.06%Tentative |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | −0.06%−0.26% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.06%−0.13% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.