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ELV vs MU · data through Oct 2, 2026

ELV and MU clearly differ on 5 of 19 forces. The widest gap is euro: in weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar, ELV typically moved +1.3% and MU −4.8%.

ELVMUBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceELVElevance HealthMUMicron Technology
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.70%−0.35% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%−2.6% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−1.5%−4.5% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.88%−6.6% to +4.9%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−1.9%−3.8% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero−1.8%−4.6% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.20%−1.5% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−2.0% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.03%−2.6% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero−1.8%−8.3% to +4.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.43%−1.3% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+5.5%+1.5% to +9.6%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.93%−2.4% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero−2.4%−4.7% to −0.09%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.18%−1.4% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero+1.1%−1.4% to +3.7%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.23%−0.89% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+2.0%+0.24% to +3.7%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.45%−0.19% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+1.4%+0.04% to +2.8%Tentative
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference−0.02%−0.03% to 0.00%Tentative+0.08%+0.01% to +0.15%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.54%−1.3% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%−0.19% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.25%−0.02% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero+0.31%−0.27% to +0.89%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.54%+0.23% to +0.84%Tentative−0.42%−0.83% to −0.02%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.13%−0.54% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero+2.5%+1.7% to +3.2%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference+1.3%−0.68% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero−4.8%−8.6% to −0.94%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.72%−0.09% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−1.9%−4.0% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.19%−0.58% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero+2.4%+1.8% to +3.0%Clear
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.08%−0.31% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero−0.70%−1.4% to −0.01%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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