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EL vs BE · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do EL and BE differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

Economic forceELEstée Lauder Companies (The)BEBloom Energy Corporation
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.70%−2.9% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.35%−3.8% to +4.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.6%−3.5% to +8.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%−8.7% to +8.8%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−3.5%−5.9% to −1.1%Tentative−3.0%−9.5% to +3.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.74%−2.3% to +0.77%Not distinguishable from zero−0.11%−3.2% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−3.6%−8.7% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−3.1%−12.4% to +6.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−4.4%−8.4% to −0.44%Tentative—
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.62%−1.9% to +0.70%Not distinguishable from zero—
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−1.3%−4.1% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero—
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+1.3%−0.14% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero—
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.45%−1.1% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero—
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.02%−0.02% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero—
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+1.3%−0.04% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero—
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.03%−0.50% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero—
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.47%−0.01% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero—
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.57%−1.2% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero—
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.36%−4.2% to +4.9%Not distinguishable from zero—
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.23%−1.4% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero—
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.65%+0.11% to +1.2%Tentative—
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.13%−0.19% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero—
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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