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EG vs CMG · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do EG and CMG differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

Economic forceEGEverest GroupCMGChipotle Mexican Grill
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.48%−0.85% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−1.4% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−0.22%−2.8% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.08%−3.9% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.86%−2.1% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero−0.80%−3.1% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.22%−0.53% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.59%−1.5% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.5%−4.3% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−4.9% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.25%−1.8% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−3.0%−5.6% to −0.33%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.1%−1.8% to −0.28%Tentative−1.3%−3.0% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.21%−1.4% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.60%−2.1% to +0.91%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.08%−0.65% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero+0.23%−1.3% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.26%−0.31% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero+0.52%−0.23% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%0.00% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%0.00% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.04%−0.52% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero+0.59%−0.30% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.35%+0.08% to +0.62%Tentative+0.07%−0.56% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.85%+0.64% to +1.1%Clear+0.19%−0.27% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.39%−0.62% to −0.16%Tentative−0.21%−0.78% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.20%−2.6% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero+1.4%−1.2% to +3.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.45%−1.2% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero−0.63%−1.9% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.26%−0.52% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero−0.17%−0.52% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.23%+0.12% to +0.34%Clear+0.12%−0.10% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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