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ECL vs A · data through Oct 2, 2026

ECL and A clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is natural gas: in weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%, ECL typically moved +0.01% and A −0.02%.

Economic forceECLEcolabAAgilent Technologies
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.5%−2.2% to −0.76%Clear−1.4%−2.5% to −0.26%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.3%+0.48% to +4.1%Tentative+1.5%−1.4% to +4.4%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.72%−1.6% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero−0.70%−2.7% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.5%−1.9% to −1.1%Clear−1.0%−2.0% to −0.01%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.1%−3.0% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−3.9% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.54%−0.89% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.80%−2.7% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.33%−1.0% to +0.31%Not distinguishable from zero+0.41%−0.68% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.27%−1.0% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero+0.32%−1.0% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.03%−0.85% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero+0.51%−0.37% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.06%−0.42% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero+0.79%+0.07% to +1.5%Tentative
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference+0.01%0.00% to +0.03%Tentative−0.02%−0.05% to 0.00%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.17%−0.58% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero+0.55%−0.52% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.33%+0.15% to +0.50%Clear+0.48%+0.22% to +0.73%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.53%+0.37% to +0.69%Clear+0.35%+0.06% to +0.64%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.21%−0.41% to −0.01%Tentative−0.24%−0.65% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.16%−1.9% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero+0.09%−1.7% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.46%−1.0% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero+0.39%−0.53% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.05%−0.17% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero+0.17%−0.21% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.08%−0.03% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero+0.11%−0.07% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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